Compare games missed, fantasy production and snap-share changes after NFL turf toe injuries, with position-specific sample sizes.
63 recorded episodes · Updated November 11, 2026 · Half-PPR fantasy scoring
How does fantasy production change after return?
| Position | Episodes | Avg games missed | Game 1 | Game 2 | Game 3 | Game 4 | Game 5 | Game 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 8 | 2.1 gamesn=7 | +4.9%n=7 · small sample | +26.7%n=7 · small sample | -14.5%n=5 · small sample | -19.3%n=4 · small sample | -0.9%n=3 · small sample | +40.3%n=2 · small sample |
| RB | 18 | 2.0 gamesn=15 | -44.4%n=14 | -3.9%n=11 | +15.5%n=9 · small sample | +31.7%n=8 · small sample | -8.6%n=6 · small sample | +78.3%n=5 · small sample |
| WR | 28 | 2.8 gamesn=23 | -24.5%n=21 | +3.1%n=18 | +4.2%n=16 | +33.6%n=14 | +25.7%n=11 | +18.9%n=9 · small sample |
| TE | 9 | 2.4 gamesn=9 | -34.8%n=9 · small sample | +89.2%n=6 · small sample | -26.6%n=4 · small sample | +101.0%n=3 · small sample | -0.2%n=3 · small sample | -53.9%n=2 · small sample |
Each game has its own eligible sample. These are historical comparisons, not a prediction for an individual player.
QB: first game back
+4.9% fantasy production change across 7 eligible observations.
2.1 games missed on average across 7 recorded values.
Small sample: interpret cautiously.
RB: first game back
-44.4% fantasy production change across 14 eligible observations.
2.0 games missed on average across 15 recorded values.
WR: first game back
-24.5% fantasy production change across 21 eligible observations.
2.8 games missed on average across 23 recorded values.
TE: first game back
-34.8% fantasy production change across 9 eligible observations.
2.4 games missed on average across 9 recorded values.
Small sample: interpret cautiously.
What the numbers mean for fantasy football
The big toe provides a base for push-off when accelerating and changing direction. Toe pain can affect running and, for quarterbacks, the transfer of force into a throw. Severity and the injured side matter. A player being active does not establish that push-off is comfortable or unrestricted.
Role, age, workload, associated injuries and the type of treatment can all differ between episodes. Read the diagnosis and practice report alongside these data; the averages cannot confirm readiness or a return date.
Shareable first-game comparison
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Credit: Fantasy Injury Team. Link to this page when citing the chart; the chart includes the source date and sample sizes.
The people behind the percentages
Individual player episodes
Select a player to expand their injury timeline, baseline, and return-game outcomes.
Aggregate position data · Turf Toe
| Position | Episodes | Avg games missed | Game 1 | Game 2 | Game 3 | Game 4 | Game 5 | Game 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 8 | 2.1 gamesn=7 | +4.9%n=7 · small sample | +26.7%n=7 · small sample | -14.5%n=5 · small sample | -19.3%n=4 · small sample | -0.9%n=3 · small sample | +40.3%n=2 · small sample |
| RB | 18 | 2.0 gamesn=15 | -44.4%n=14 | -3.9%n=11 | +15.5%n=9 · small sample | +31.7%n=8 · small sample | -8.6%n=6 · small sample | +78.3%n=5 · small sample |
| WR | 28 | 2.8 gamesn=23 | -24.5%n=21 | +3.1%n=18 | +4.2%n=16 | +33.6%n=14 | +25.7%n=11 | +18.9%n=9 · small sample |
| TE | 9 | 2.4 gamesn=9 | -34.8%n=9 · small sample | +89.2%n=6 · small sample | -26.6%n=4 · small sample | +101.0%n=3 · small sample | -0.2%n=3 · small sample | -53.9%n=2 · small sample |
8 matching episodes · Turf Toe · QB.
| Player / team | Injury timing | Games missed | G1 PPG Δ | G2 PPG Δ | G3 PPG Δ | G4 PPG Δ | G5 PPG Δ | G6 PPG Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lamar JacksonTurf Toe | 2025 Week 12 | 0.0 | -67.4% | +5.1% | -27.1% | — | — | — |
Brock PurdyTurf Toe | 2025 Week 4 | 6.0 | +15.0% | -56.4% | +2.0% | +56.1% | +84.1% | +120.0% |
Joe BurrowTurf Toe | 2025 Week 2 | 9.0 | +118.1% | +164.9% | — | — | — | — |
Brock PurdyTurf Toe | 2025 Week 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Baker MayfieldTurf Toe | 2024 Week 9 | 0.0 | -61.2% | -19.1% | — | — | — | — |
Trevor LawrenceTurf Toe | 2022 Week 13 | 0.0 | +97.5% | +58.5% | +7.9% | -73.5% | -39.8% | — |
Matthew StaffordTurf Toe | 2021 Week 18 | 0.0 | -60.0% | -3.2% | -47.9% | -65.4% | -47.1% | -39.4% |
Josh AllenTurf Toe | 2021 Week 14 | 0.0 | -7.8% | +37.2% | -7.4% | +5.7% | — | — |
Snapshot updated November 11, 2026. All tables use the same 2,413-episode source snapshot. Historical comparisons are observational; they do not establish that an injury caused a particular performance change. Read the methodology and limitations.